{
 "hypotheses": {
  "N": "Naturalism: no Mind behind nature; all religions are human products",
  "D": "Deism / generic theism: a Mind made the world but did not speak through Israel, Jesus or Muhammad",
  "O": "Other theisms and traditions (Hindu theisms, Sikhism, Baha'i, pantheist and other spiritual views): a transcendent reality, but not the God of Israel as the Bible describes him",
  "J": "Judaism: the God of Israel spoke through the Hebrew Bible; Jesus was not the Messiah and did not rise",
  "I": "Islam: the God of Abraham spoke finally through the Quran; Jesus was a prophet and Messiah but was not crucified (Quran 4:157) and is not divine",
  "C": "Christianity: the God of Israel spoke through the Hebrew Bible, and Jesus is the Messiah, crucified and bodily raised"
 },
 "groups": {
  "Mind": [
   "D",
   "O",
   "J",
   "I",
   "C"
  ],
  "GodOfIsrael": [
   "J",
   "I",
   "C"
  ]
 },
 "prior_presets": {
  "skeptic": {
   "_why": "A thoroughgoing naturalist: 1 in 1,000 that there is a Mind at all; within theism, the more specific a hypothesis, the less prior (generic theism and 'other' carry most of it).",
   "N": 0.999,
   "within_mind": {
    "D": 0.4,
    "O": 0.3,
    "J": 0.1,
    "I": 0.1,
    "C": 0.1
   },
   "dependence_weight": 0.25,
   "model_error": 0.05
  },
  "neutral": {
   "_why": "Even odds on a Mind; equal shares for the five theistic options (no favourite).",
   "N": 0.5,
   "within_mind": {
    "D": 0.2,
    "O": 0.2,
    "J": 0.2,
    "I": 0.2,
    "C": 0.2
   },
   "dependence_weight": 0.5,
   "model_error": 0.01
  },
  "generous": {
   "_why": "Generous to theism in general (80% on a Mind) but still no favourite among the theisms.",
   "N": 0.2,
   "within_mind": {
    "D": 0.2,
    "O": 0.2,
    "J": 0.2,
    "I": 0.2,
    "C": 0.2
   },
   "dependence_weight": 0.75,
   "model_error": 0.001
  }
 },
 "items": [
  {
   "id": "01-cosmic-beginning",
   "tier": "I",
   "cluster": "T1-origins",
   "kind": "pro",
   "evidence": "The observable universe began in a hot dense state ~13.8 Gyr ago; an absolute beginning is probable but not proven (BGV is classical)",
   "favours": [
    "D",
    "J",
    "I",
    "C"
   ],
   "partial": {
    "O": 0.5
   },
   "lr": {
    "low": 0.85,
    "central": 1.3,
    "high": 3.5
   },
   "note": "01 owns the cosmological fact only; 'Genesis predicted it' is not counted (05).",
   "page": "beginning",
   "label": "The universe had a beginning",
   "question": "How much more expected is a universe with a beginning if there is a Mind than if there isn't?"
  },
  {
   "id": "02-fine-tuning",
   "tier": "I",
   "cluster": "T1-origins",
   "kind": "pro",
   "evidence": "The cosmological constant must cancel the electroweak drop in vacuum energy to the life-permitting window: P <= 10^-50.9 x D/|D-m| for one universe in which nothing correlates the vacuum term with particle physics (non-anticipation prior); rules out single-universe chance only; design over law, multiverse or necessity is contested",
   "favours": [
    "D",
    "J",
    "I",
    "C"
   ],
   "partial": {
    "O": 0.5
   },
   "lr": {
    "low": 0.5,
    "central": 10,
    "high": 1000
   },
   "note": "LR ~ d/w with d (a designer's aims) and w (naturalism's share on multiverse or a cancelling law) judged by one standard (LT pass 2026-11-13; was 2/50/1e4). Counted once, via one anchor (Lambda).",
   "page": "fine-tuning",
   "label": "Fine-tuning",
   "question": "How much more expected is a life-permitting cosmological constant under design than under naturalism (multiverse included)?"
  },
  {
   "id": "03-origin-of-life",
   "tier": "I",
   "cluster": "T1-origins",
   "kind": "pro",
   "evidence": "No demonstrated unguided route from chemistry to an evolving replicator after ~70 years, with real partial steps and early life",
   "favours": [
    "D",
    "J",
    "I",
    "C"
   ],
   "partial": {
    "O": 0.5
   },
   "lr": {
    "low": 0.8,
    "central": 1.3,
    "high": 3
   },
   "note": "Collapses toward 1 if naturalism's multiverse is granted (shared with 02).",
   "page": "origin-of-life",
   "label": "Origin of life",
   "question": "How much more expected is the state of origin-of-life research under design?"
  },
  {
   "id": "04-mind-and-ndes",
   "tier": "I",
   "cluster": "T1-mind",
   "kind": "pro",
   "evidence": "Consciousness without reductive explanation; NDEs with a few corroborated perceptions but no hidden-target hits; strong mind-brain dependence (counted here, not in 13)",
   "favours": [
    "J",
    "I",
    "C",
    "O"
   ],
   "partial": {
    "D": 0.5
   },
   "lr": {
    "low": 0.6,
    "central": 1.2,
    "high": 2.7
   },
   "note": "Two scopes (LT pass): the narrow hard problem supports 'reality is not structure alone' (which naturalistic dualism also accepts); NDE data bear on a separable mind (~0.5). Includes mind-brain dependence; area 13's 'mind' item is not entered separately.",
   "page": "consciousness",
   "label": "Mind & near-death experiences",
   "question": "How much more expected are consciousness and the NDE data if the mind is more than the brain?"
  },
  {
   "id": "05-genesis-creation",
   "tier": "II",
   "cluster": "T2-hebrew-text",
   "kind": "pro",
   "evidence": "Genesis 1's order beats chance (tau 0.46, p=0.011) but ranks 7th of 16 ancient cosmogonies plainly read; distinctive non-divine cosmos",
   "favours": [
    "J",
    "C"
   ],
   "partial": {
    "I": 0.5
   },
   "lr": {
    "low": 0.6,
    "central": 1.3,
    "high": 3
   },
   "note": "",
   "page": "genesis",
   "label": "Genesis 1",
   "question": "How much more expected is Genesis 1's fit to science if God spoke through it?"
  },
  {
   "id": "06-science-in-scripture",
   "tier": "II",
   "cluster": "T2-hebrew-text",
   "kind": "pro",
   "evidence": "60 natural-world items audited: no foreknowledge; sound hygiene; ANE cosmology under a strict reading",
   "favours": [
    "J",
    "C"
   ],
   "partial": {
    "I": 0.5
   },
   "lr": {
    "low": 0.7,
    "central": 1.0,
    "high": 1.2
   },
   "note": "Accommodation view; claiming foreknowledge would instead count against (0.002-0.4).",
   "page": "science-in-scripture",
   "label": "Science in Scripture",
   "question": "How much more expected is the Bible's natural-world content if God spoke through it (accommodation view)?"
  },
  {
   "id": "07-ot-history-archaeology",
   "tier": "II",
   "cluster": "T2-hebrew-text",
   "kind": "pro",
   "evidence": "Monarchy-era history checks out (53 persons; foreign kings 25/25 in order); careful transmission; Exodus/conquest not supported",
   "favours": [
    "J",
    "C"
   ],
   "partial": {
    "I": 0.5
   },
   "lr": {
    "low": 0.7,
    "central": 1.2,
    "high": 2.0
   },
   "note": "Main value is removing 'late fiction' and securing text dates for 08/09.",
   "page": "history",
   "label": "Old Testament history & text",
   "question": "How much more expected is the archaeological record if the biblical account is true?"
  },
  {
   "id": "15-sinai-kuzari",
   "tier": "II",
   "cluster": "T2-hebrew-text",
   "kind": "pro",
   "evidence": "Israel's founding tradition of a revelation witnessed by a whole people (Exod 19-20; Deut 4-5), argued to be unforgeable; against: late dating and the uniqueness problem",
   "favours": [
    "J",
    "C"
   ],
   "partial": {
    "I": 0.5
   },
   "lr": {
    "low": 1.0,
    "central": 1.2,
    "high": 2.0
   },
   "note": "Counts only the form of the tradition; the Exodus's missing evidence is scored in 07.",
   "page": "rivals",
   "label": "Sinai: a national revelation",
   "question": "How much more expected is a whole-people revelation tradition if God really spoke at Sinai?"
  },
  {
   "id": "08-prophecy-historical",
   "tier": "II",
   "cluster": "T2-prophecy",
   "kind": "pro",
   "evidence": "The whole universe of historical prophecy scored blind, misses included: the oracles against the nations, the famous cases from both sides, and all checkable restoration promises to Israel (Lev 26, Deut 28-30, the prophets); return, rebuilding and survival hit, permanence promises fail on a plain reading; no margin, leans against (LT pass; was 0.2/10/300)",
   "favours": [
    "J",
    "C"
   ],
   "partial": {
    "I": 0.5
   },
   "lr": {
    "low": 0.01,
    "central": 0.3,
    "high": 10
   },
   "note": "Assumes critical dates for Daniel and Isaiah 40-55 (traditional dates multiply by 1e2-1e5). Contains Mark 13:30 and the clear misses, so 13's eschatology item is not entered separately.",
   "page": "prophecy",
   "label": "Prophecy: nations & Israel",
   "question": "How much more expected is the prophecy record (hits and misses) under foreknowledge than under informed human authors?"
  },
  {
   "id": "09-prophecy-messianic",
   "tier": "II",
   "cluster": "T2-prophecy",
   "kind": "pro",
   "evidence": "Blind pre-registered whole-universe test (omega c10): 82 pre-70 features, Jesus 23 hits, 59 misses (0 of 19 military/political); LR about 0.3 (at most about 2); Isaiah 52:13-53:12 scored whole about 1-2; the light to the nations is not counted as prophecy",
   "favours": [
    "C"
   ],
   "partial": {
    "I": 1.0
   },
   "lr": {
    "low": 0.07,
    "central": 0.25,
    "high": 3
   },
   "note": "Scored whole and blind, no margin (c10 RECORD \u00a710). Islam's exponent raised from 0.25 to 1: the remaining hits (titles, prophet-healer strand) are features Islam also affirms of Jesus (c10 T6). f (narrative shaping) shared with 11.",
   "page": "messiah",
   "label": "Messianic prophecy",
   "question": "How much more expected is Jesus' fit to pre-Christian messianic expectation if the texts carry foreknowledge?"
  },
  {
   "id": "10-typology",
   "tier": "II",
   "cluster": "T2-prophecy",
   "kind": "pro",
   "evidence": "Of ~30 types, none gets full marks and one passes the pre-registered rule (the death at Passover, with the pre-Christian Akedah-Passover link); four of six controls pass the same rule; no margin",
   "favours": [
    "C"
   ],
   "partial": {},
   "lr": {
    "low": 0.9,
    "central": 2,
    "high": 6
   },
   "note": "Folded into the prophecy cluster (discounted with 09).",
   "page": "typology",
   "label": "Typology",
   "question": "How much more expected is the Passover timing and the surviving types under design?"
  },
  {
   "id": "11-gospels-reliability",
   "tier": "III",
   "cluster": "T3-jesus",
   "kind": "pro",
   "evidence": "The Gospels and Acts preserve early, Palestine-rooted testimony (LR 1.4-80 vs late legend) but this does not establish miracles",
   "favours": [
    "N",
    "D",
    "O",
    "J",
    "C"
   ],
   "partial": {},
   "lr": {
    "low": 1.2,
    "central": 8,
    "high": 80
   },
   "note": "Entered only against Islam (which holds the Gospels corrupted): 12's LR already assumes the sources are admissible, so counting 11 for C vs N would double count.",
   "page": "gospels",
   "label": "Gospels' reliability (vs Islam)",
   "question": "How much more expected are early, rooted Gospels if they were not corrupted (as Islam holds)?"
  },
  {
   "id": "12-resurrection",
   "tier": "III",
   "cluster": "T3-jesus",
   "kind": "pro",
   "evidence": "Within 2-5 years Peter, the Twelve, groups, James and Paul sincerely proclaimed Jesus raised and seen; tomb probably empty; null space scored",
   "favours": [
    "C"
   ],
   "partial": {},
   "lr": {
    "low": 1,
    "central": 500,
    "high": 20000.0
   },
   "note": "Prior structure P(R)=P(God)P(R|God) handled by the joint model.",
   "page": "resurrection",
   "label": "The resurrection",
   "question": "How much more expected are the resurrection data if God raised Jesus than under the best natural explanation?"
  },
  {
   "id": "12b-crucifixion-secure",
   "tier": "III",
   "cluster": "T3-jesus",
   "kind": "pro",
   "evidence": "A public Roman crucifixion of Jesus (Paul, Mark, Tacitus, Josephus); no no-death account among his followers before 2nd-century docetism",
   "favours": [
    "N",
    "D",
    "O",
    "J",
    "C"
   ],
   "partial": {},
   "lr": {
    "low": 1.2,
    "central": 1.9,
    "high": 3.3
   },
   "note": "Given-12 value: the inner circle's proclamation is already inside the resurrection line. Counts against Islam only (Quran 4:157). Alone it would be 8.3 (1.9-111).",
   "page": "resurrection",
   "label": "Crucifixion record (vs Islam)",
   "question": "How much more expected is the historical record of Jesus' death if he was crucified than if it was only made to appear so (Quran 4:157)?"
  },
  {
   "id": "13-evil",
   "tier": "counter",
   "cluster": "C-would-act",
   "kind": "counter",
   "evidence": "Suffering distributed by biological utility over ~540 Myr, incl. animal suffering before humans",
   "favours": [
    "J",
    "I",
    "C"
   ],
   "partial": {
    "D": 0.3,
    "O": 0.5
   },
   "lr": {
    "low": 0.08,
    "central": 0.35,
    "high": 0.85
   },
   "note": "Deism partly escapes (Draper's indifference).",
   "page": "against",
   "label": "Evil and suffering",
   "question": "How much less expected is the world's suffering if a good God exists?"
  },
  {
   "id": "13-hiddenness",
   "tier": "counter",
   "cluster": "C-would-act",
   "kind": "counter",
   "evidence": "Nonresistant nonbelief (Schellenberg)",
   "favours": [
    "J",
    "I",
    "C"
   ],
   "partial": {
    "O": 0.5
   },
   "lr": {
    "low": 0.3,
    "central": 0.65,
    "high": 0.95
   },
   "note": "",
   "page": "against",
   "label": "Divine hiddenness",
   "question": "How much less expected is sincere nonbelief if a loving God exists?"
  },
  {
   "id": "13-diversity",
   "tier": "counter",
   "cluster": "C-would-act",
   "kind": "counter",
   "evidence": "Religious diversity, geography of belief, particularity",
   "favours": [
    "J",
    "I",
    "C"
   ],
   "partial": {},
   "lr": {
    "low": 0.4,
    "central": 0.75,
    "high": 1.0
   },
   "note": "",
   "page": "against",
   "label": "Religious diversity",
   "question": "How much less expected is the geography of belief under biblical theism?"
  },
  {
   "id": "13-prayer",
   "tier": "counter",
   "cluster": "C-would-act",
   "kind": "counter",
   "evidence": "Null intercessory-prayer trials (STEP 2006 and others)",
   "favours": [
    "J",
    "I",
    "C"
   ],
   "partial": {
    "O": 0.5
   },
   "lr": {
    "low": 0.7,
    "central": 0.9,
    "high": 1.0
   },
   "note": "",
   "page": "against",
   "label": "Prayer trials",
   "question": "How much less expected are null prayer trials under theism?"
  },
  {
   "id": "13-herem",
   "tier": "counter",
   "cluster": "C-text",
   "kind": "counter",
   "evidence": "Herem (conquest) and slavery texts",
   "favours": [
    "J",
    "C"
   ],
   "partial": {},
   "lr": {
    "low": 0.25,
    "central": 0.55,
    "high": 0.9
   },
   "note": "Islam holds the Torah altered, so it escapes.",
   "page": "against",
   "label": "Conquest & slavery texts",
   "question": "How much less expected are the herem and slavery texts if God spoke through the Bible?"
  },
  {
   "id": "13-contradictions",
   "tier": "counter",
   "cluster": "C-text",
   "kind": "counter",
   "evidence": "Alleged contradictions (under a reliability hypothesis, not inerrancy)",
   "favours": [
    "J",
    "C"
   ],
   "partial": {},
   "lr": {
    "low": 0.7,
    "central": 0.9,
    "high": 1.0
   },
   "note": "Gospel differences and probable errors are scored here for the Bible's God vs naturalism. The Gospels line also includes an errors factor, but that line is entered only against Islam, so nothing is counted twice for any pair.",
   "page": "against",
   "label": "Contradictions",
   "question": "How much less expected are the Bible's discrepancies under a reliable-Scripture hypothesis?"
  },
  {
   "id": "15-torah-perpetual",
   "tier": "counter",
   "cluster": "C-text",
   "kind": "counter",
   "evidence": "The Torah calls some statutes perpetual (Exod 31:16; Deut 13:1-5); Christianity holds them fulfilled or set aside (Matt 5:17; Heb 8), with Jer 31:31's new covenant as its reply",
   "favours": [
    "C"
   ],
   "partial": {
    "I": 0.5
   },
   "lr": {
    "low": 0.5,
    "central": 0.83,
    "high": 1.0
   },
   "note": "Judaism's second strand against Jesus (LT pass, area 15); the messianic-age strand is inside 09.",
   "page": "rivals",
   "label": "Perpetual Torah statutes",
   "question": "How much less expected is a Messiah who sets aside 'perpetual' statutes if Christianity is true?"
  },
  {
   "id": "13-csr",
   "tier": "counter",
   "cluster": "C-naturalism",
   "kind": "counter",
   "evidence": "Cognitive science of religion (debunking arguments)",
   "favours": [
    "O",
    "J",
    "I",
    "C"
   ],
   "partial": {
    "D": 0.5
   },
   "lr": {
    "low": 0.7,
    "central": 0.9,
    "high": 1.0
   },
   "note": "",
   "page": "against",
   "label": "Cognitive science of religion",
   "question": "How much less expected is religion's psychology if religion tracks truth?"
  },
  {
   "id": "13-track-record",
   "tier": "counter",
   "cluster": "C-naturalism",
   "kind": "counter",
   "evidence": "Track record of naturalistic explanation replacing supernatural ones",
   "favours": [
    "D",
    "O",
    "J",
    "I",
    "C"
   ],
   "partial": {},
   "lr": {
    "low": 0.6,
    "central": 0.85,
    "high": 1.0
   },
   "note": "Not also used to shrink 03.",
   "page": "against",
   "label": "Naturalism's track record",
   "question": "How much less expected is science's record of replacing supernatural explanations if a Mind exists?"
  },
  {
   "id": "13-scale",
   "tier": "counter",
   "cluster": "C-naturalism",
   "kind": "counter",
   "evidence": "Size and age of the universe vs a human-centred purpose",
   "favours": [
    "J",
    "I",
    "C"
   ],
   "partial": {
    "O": 0.5
   },
   "lr": {
    "low": 0.7,
    "central": 0.9,
    "high": 1.05
   },
   "note": "",
   "page": "against",
   "label": "Size & age of the universe",
   "question": "How much less expected is a vast, old universe under a human-centred purpose?"
  },
  {
   "id": "13-rival-miracles",
   "tier": "counter",
   "cluster": "C-testimony",
   "kind": "counter",
   "evidence": "Rival miracle claims of similar attestation (general point; resurrection parity is inside 12)",
   "favours": [
    "J",
    "I",
    "C"
   ],
   "partial": {},
   "lr": {
    "low": 0.6,
    "central": 0.85,
    "high": 1.0
   },
   "note": "",
   "page": "against",
   "label": "Rival miracle claims",
   "question": "How much less expected are well-attested rival miracle reports if only one tradition is true?"
  },
  {
   "id": "15-evidence-for-islam",
   "tier": "rival",
   "cluster": "R-islam",
   "kind": "rival",
   "evidence": "The Quran's consonantal text fixed by ~650 (Birmingham, Sana'a), its literary challenge, Q 30:2-4 and Heraclius' recovery, science claims at LR ~1 by the same rules, rapid early success",
   "favours": [
    "I"
   ],
   "partial": {},
   "lr": {
    "low": 0.7,
    "central": 2.4,
    "high": 19
   },
   "note": "Scored by the same rules as the Bible's lines (area 15).",
   "page": "rivals",
   "label": "Evidence for Islam",
   "question": "How much more expected are the Quran's preservation, literary standing and claimed prophecy if Islam is true?"
  },
  {
   "id": "15-quran-text",
   "tier": "rival",
   "cluster": "R-islam",
   "kind": "rival",
   "evidence": "The Quran's own hard texts: war and slavery verses, imminence verses, legend-shared material, and the 'Islamic dilemma' (5:47 vs the extant Gospels)",
   "favours": [
    "I"
   ],
   "partial": {},
   "lr": {
    "low": 0.097,
    "central": 0.41,
    "high": 0.9
   },
   "note": "Mirrors the Bible's hard-texts scoring (area 13) by the identical rule.",
   "page": "rivals",
   "label": "The Quran's hard texts",
   "question": "How much less expected are the Quran's difficult texts if it is God's final word?"
  },
  {
   "id": "15-evidence-for-other-traditions",
   "tier": "rival",
   "cluster": "R-other",
   "kind": "rival",
   "evidence": "Children's past-life reports (~2,500 cases; 33 with records before verification), yogic claims, Baha'i prophecies, the Book of Mormon witnesses against archaeology and the Book of Abraham papyri",
   "favours": [
    "O"
   ],
   "partial": {},
   "lr": {
    "low": 0.83,
    "central": 2.3,
    "high": 17.5
   },
   "note": "Composite over the traditions in O, weighted by share (area 15).",
   "page": "rivals",
   "label": "Evidence for other traditions",
   "question": "How much more expected are past-life reports and the other evidence offered if a rebirth or other tradition is true?"
  }
 ],
 "_about": "Real inputs, synthesized 2026-11-12 from the area dossiers' section-6 roll-up blocks (truth/research/NN-*.md). Profiles (favours/partial) follow 14-integration.md section 1.4, adjusted where a dossier's independence notes require it (see each row's note). Left out to avoid double counting: area 13's mind-brain item (inside 04), area 13's imminent-eschatology item (inside 08), area 15's Jewish case against Jesus as Messiah (the unfulfilled messianic age is scored inside 09 (now the blind whole-universe run: 0 of 19 military and political features)). Updated 2026-11-13 by the Omega LT pass (truth/research/OMEGA_HANDOFF.md): rows 02, 03, 04, 06, 08, 09, 11 revised; 15-torah-perpetual added; previous inputs in 14-inputs.before-lt.json."
}