Tier II
Did that Mind speak through the Bible?
If there is a Mind behind nature, did it speak through Israel's Scriptures? Six tests, each run on the whole text under rules fixed in advance, with the misses counted and controls run.
Genesis 1, tested against science and every ancient creation story
Set beside every other ancient creation story on one fixed scorecard, Genesis 1 stands out less for hidden science than for what it refuses to say: its world is not a god's body and its stars are not gods. Its order is good but not miraculous, and its misses are where its ancient picture of the sky shows.
Science in Scripture: a whole-text audit
The Bible does not hide modern science in its verses: 0 of 60 natural-world items show knowledge unavailable in antiquity, and 0 of 28 popular foreknowledge claims hold as stated. It speaks of nature in the language of its world, as Calvin and Galileo said it would.
The Old Testament as history, and how its text was kept
Where the Old Testament's history can be checked against its neighbours' records, it turns out to be real history, and its text came down with care. That lets the prophecy pages date their texts, but it cannot by itself show that God inspired them.
Prophecies about nations, empires and Israel
Scored whole, misses included and coded blind, the Bible's prophecies about nations, empires and Israel look like the work of well-informed, hopeful human authors: a few real long-range hits, above all a scattered people's survival and return, outweighed on a plain reading by the promises of permanence in the same oracles.
Messianic prophecy: a whole-text test against cherry-picking
Scored whole, prophecy gives no margin, and it is not evidence against: Jesus fits what Jews before him expected better than any other claimant, but not well enough to count as evidence that the texts foresaw him (a likelihood ratio of about 0.3, at most about 2; the test needed 100), and Isaiah 53, scored whole, adds about 1 to 2.
Typology: patterns tested against controls
Held to rules fixed in advance, most Old Testament “types” of Christ are what any searching reader would find. One survives: Jesus died in Jerusalem at Passover. It is worth about a factor of 2, with a range that reaches below 1: no margin for design.
Most of the Bible's famous "proofs" shrink under fair testing, and the site says so. Genesis 1 beats chance but sits mid-table among ancient creation accounts. Claimed scientific foreknowledge does not survive scrutiny. The Old Testament's history from the 9th century BC on is strongly confirmed, but accurate history is expected from human authors too. Typology, run against controls, is weak, with a range that reaches below 1.
Prophecy, scored whole and blind, gives no margin. Some of the best-known items are real: the survival and return of the Jewish people, and Isaiah 53 in a scroll that predates Jesus (Daniel 9 gives a window, not a date, and the blind readers coded it a miss for Jesus). But scored with everything they come with (the hundreds of restoration promises from which the famous Israel items were chosen, and the 19 military and political features the pre-Christian sources expected of the Messiah, none of which Jesus fits), the nations and Israel line comes to about 0.3 and messianic prophecy to about 0.25. Jesus fits what Jews before him expected better than any other claimant tested, but not well enough to count as evidence that the texts foresaw him; Isaiah 53, scored whole, adds about 1 to 2. Taken together, this tier no longer helps the case for Christianity: in the model it now lowers the result for Christianity rather than raising it.
What this tier cannot tell you on its own: whether Jesus is the one these texts point to. That is the job of Tier III.